Efthimiou supposed that the first vampire arose Jan. 1, 1600, around the beginning of a century during which some of the first important modern writings on vampires appeared. The researchers estimated the global population at that time, based on historical records, as 537 million.It's the same fallacy that presumes that if population growth is constant, then humans must have existed since only a few thousand years ago, a favorite argument of young earth creationists. The tidy calculation ignores the intervening variable: vampire hunters. They keep us safe--but not from bad assumptions.
Assuming that the vampire fed once a month and the victim turned into a vampire, there would be two vampires on Feb. 1, four the next month, and eight the month after that. All humans would be vampires within 2½ years. “Humans cannot survive under these conditions, even if our population were doubling each month,” which is well beyond human capacities, Efthimiou said.
Oct 26, 2006
vampire math and young earth creationism
Shockingly bad math proves that vampires aren't real:
The original study also makes several assumptions that make it a poor model- there are no births of humans, there are no deaths other than by vampirism, vampires always feed (i.e. they never miss a meal), there are no isolated humans and no humans have vampire resistance, for starters.
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